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Macro

US Treasuries Sell Off as Inflation, Fed Hawkishness Lift Rate Bets

US Treasuries suffered one of their sharpest sell-offs since April 2025 after inflation came in above expectations and Federal Reserve officials warned they may step up rate hikes. The two-year Treasury yield, more sensitive to Fed policy shifts than longer-dated bonds, jumped as much as 21 basis points to 4.77%, on track for its biggest one-day rise since the global market turmoil triggered by Trump’s reciprocal tariffs.

Original source

AI take

The front-end-led selloff signals that markets are repricing the Fed's reaction function rather than just the inflation print, with the two-year yield's move rivaling the tariff-shock episode in magnitude. This matters most for rate-sensitive corners of crypto and RWA markets, where tokenized Treasury products and yield-bearing stablecoin structures transmit short-rate volatility directly to on-chain holders. The open question is whether Fed officials follow hawkish rhetoric with action, or whether the inflation surprise proves transient — the two-year's next move will be the tell.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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