TREE NEWS update: A member of Germany’s Council of Economic Experts, Gabriel Felbermayr, warned Wednesday that the US midterm election results are unlikely to soften Washington’s protectionist stance and could instead increase uncertainty over tariff policy. Speaking as the five-member council released its annual report, he said the situation could become tense as early as early next year as certain deadlines expire. For German exporters, he said, this could mean a cooling US market, which had improved over the past two to three months partly on an AI boom.
German economic adviser warns US midterm results could raise tariff risk
The significance here is that tariff risk is being framed as a structural feature of US policy rather than a temporary election artifact — a sitting economic adviser to Germany's official advisory body is effectively telling exporters not to expect relief from the vote. The exposure sits with German exporters, particularly those riding the recent US demand improvement tied to the AI boom, which the same adviser flags as a cushion that could cool. The open question is timing: whether the deadlines he references actually produce the tense scenario early next year, and whether that AI-driven US demand proves durable enough to offset it.
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