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CFTC: Speculators cut ultra-long bond net shorts by 36,734 contracts

Speculators reduced net short positions in Chicago Board of Trade US ultra-long Treasury bond futures by 36,734 contracts to 369,311 in the week ended September 1. The data reflects a notable shift in speculative positioning amid ongoing market adjustments.

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AI take

The sharp reduction in speculative net shorts signals a meaningful repositioning away from bearish bets on long-dated U.S. debt, likely reflecting a recalibration of rate expectations or risk appetite among leveraged funds. This matters because ultra-long Treasury futures are a key gauge of market conviction on inflation and fiscal trajectory; a shift of this magnitude can amplify yield volatility. The open question is whether this marks the start of a broader unwind or a tactical pause, especially as positioning remains heavily short. Watch for follow-through in weekly CFTC data and any spillover into cash Treasury liquidity.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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