Iran IRGC Navy Warns Ships Using Omani Khasab Route Face Strike Risk

This direct threat from the IRGC Navy shifts risk perception from a general maritime hazard to a targeted, state-issued warning on a specific chokepoint. For commercial shipping and insurers, this elevates the calculus for route selection, potentially rerouting traffic or driving up war-risk premiums. The open question is whether the Omani government or international naval forces will respond with protective measures, which could further escalate or contain the situation.