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Crypto Macro

Bitcoin Holds Near $80K as Rate Hike Odds Rise Ahead of CPI

Bitcoin held near $80,000 on Monday despite renewed fears of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, with odds climbing to around 60% after Friday’s strong jobs report. Investors now focus on U.S. inflation data due later this week, which could sway the Fed’s next move and crypto market sentiment.

Original source

AI take

The market's resilience near $80K despite a hawkish repricing suggests bitcoin is currently trading more on its own liquidity dynamics than on macro headlines, at least for now. The upcoming CPI print is the clear pivot point: a hot number would likely reinforce the rate-hike odds and test whether this support holds, while a cooler reading could relieve pressure. What matters is not the jobs data itself, but whether inflation forces the Fed's hand, as that would tighten the risk asset environment broadly. The open question is whether bitcoin has decoupled enough from traditional macro drivers to sustain this level through a potential policy shock, or if it remains hostage to the same liquidity tide.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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