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JPMorgan Asset Management: AI Boom Also Drives Long-Term Bond Yields Higher

JPMorgan Asset Management says the recent surge in global bond yields is not solely driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve and US fiscal policy, with AI-driven growth optimism pushing investors to reassess where long-term interest rates should sit. Melbourne-based global market strategist Kerry Craig said markets are reacting to signals from the White House and Treasury, including a smaller-than-expected bond buyback operation and talk of policies that could add to fiscal pressure, while recent Treasury auction demand has been quite strong.

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AI take

The notable claim is that AI optimism is now being priced as a term-premium story, not just an equity story — a shift that reframes how the boom transmits into macro markets. If strategists are right that growth expectations, not only Fed or fiscal worries, are lifting long yields, then the AI trade carries a cost for duration-sensitive borrowers and holders. The open question is whether this diagnosis holds as auction demand stays strong and fiscal signals evolve.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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