TREE NEWS reports: US August headline CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, in line with expectations, with more than a third of the gain from a 3.9% jump in gasoline prices, while shelter costs climbed 0.3%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3% on the month, driven by a sharp increase in wireless phone services. Year-on-year, CPI rose 3.4% and core CPI 2.4%, the smallest gain since spring 2021.
US August CPI Rises 0.4% M/M, Core Up 0.3%; Annual Rate 3.4%
The headline print looks benign, but the internals carry more signal than the topline: gasoline and shelter together account for the bulk of the monthly gain, while core is being pushed by wireless services rather than broad-based demand. The annual core rate at its lowest since spring 2021 gives room for the disinflation narrative to hold, but the composition of the monthly numbers argues against reading too much into a single report. Whether energy and shelter pressures fade in coming prints is the open question.
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