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Macro US Stocks

Amundi Buys Two-Year US Treasuries to Hedge Growth Slowdown Risk

Amundi SA is buying two-year US Treasuries, betting that high oil prices will slow US economic growth and force the Federal Reserve to rethink its tightening path. Nicolas Dahan, the Paris-based firm’s senior portfolio manager for global bonds and currencies, said rising yields and energy prices could threaten the US economy’s resilience. The two-year Treasury yield rose above 4.50% last week for the first time since 2024 as traders increased bets on Fed rate hikes.

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AI take

Amundi's move is a notable example of a major asset manager positioning for a growth slowdown rather than an inflation fight, treating energy-driven price pressure as a drag on demand rather than a reason for the Fed to stay hawkish. That puts it at odds with the rate-hike bets that pushed two-year yields above 4.50%, making the front end of the curve a live battleground between those two views. Whether energy costs actually dent US resilience, and whether the Fed validates either side, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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