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Macro

Canada Inflation Holds at 3% as Gasoline Price Growth Slows

Canada’s annual inflation rate held at 3% in August, matching expectations, Statistics Canada said Monday. Gasoline prices at the pump rose 22.8% year-on-year, slowing from July’s 25.7% gain, while higher travel package and rent costs offset the deceleration. Month-on-month, the consumer price index fell 0.1%, in line with the median estimate. The Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures, CPI-median and CPI-trim, were unchanged at 2% and 1.9%.

Original source

AI take

The headline number masks a split picture: gasoline is still the dominant driver even as its growth cools, while shelter and travel costs are quietly doing the offsetting work. For markets, the more telling detail is the Bank of Canada's preferred core measures sitting at or below the 2% target midpoint, which suggests underlying pressure is contained even with headline inflation stuck at 3%. Whether gasoline's deceleration continues and whether rent and travel costs keep building are the two forces worth watching next.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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