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10-Year US Treasury Yield Tops 5% for First Time Since 2023

The US 10-year Treasury yield rose above 5% for the first time since 2023, ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting. Traders are now fully pricing four European Central Bank rate hikes through the end of 2027.

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AI take

A 5% 10-year Treasury yield is the pricing anchor that crypto and tokenized-RWA markets have not had to absorb in years, and it lands just as the Fed meets. The notable signal is the divergence: traders are pricing multiple ECB hikes even as US yields push higher, suggesting rate expectations are being repriced globally rather than in one market. For yield-bearing RWA products and crypto carry trades, the competition from risk-free duration is the variable that matters, and whether this yield level holds after the Fed meeting is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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