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IAEA: Global Nuclear Capacity Could Triple by 2060

The International Atomic Energy Agency said global nuclear power capacity could more than triple by 2060, raising its forecast for a sixth straight year. As of end-2025, 413 reactors were operating worldwide with 377.1 GW of capacity. The IAEA’s low estimate sees 696 GW by 2060, roughly double 2025 levels, while its high estimate reaches 1,284 GW, about 3.4 times current capacity.

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AI take

The IAEA's sixth consecutive upward revision matters less as a forecast than as a signal about institutional expectations: the agency's own low case now implies roughly doubling, meaning even its pessimistic scenario embeds growth. Nuclear sits at the intersection of the RWA and energy trades — long-dated, capital-intensive infrastructure that increasingly attracts tokenized financing structures. The gap between the 696 GW and 1,284 GW scenarios is the real story; that spread reflects unresolved questions over financing, regulation and grid buildout rather than reactor technology itself. Whether the sixth straight upgrade becomes a seventh is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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