TREE NEWS reports: The Federal Reserve now expects US GDP to grow 2.3% in 2026, up from its June projection of 2.2%. The central bank also lifted its 2027 forecast to 2.4% from 2.3%, kept 2028 unchanged at 2.2%, raised its longer-run estimate to 2.1% from 2.0%, and put 2029 growth at 2.1%.
Fed raises US GDP growth forecasts: 2.3% in 2026, 2.4% in 2027
AI take
The signal here is the longer-run estimate, not the near-term nudge: the Fed marking up its view of sustainable US growth matters more for how policy is calibrated than a tenth of a point in any single year. A higher trend assumption implies less slack and a firmer neutral rate, which feeds through to the discount rate that underpins every long-duration asset, tokenized Treasuries included. Whether the Fed's own inflation path validates that optimism is the open question.
Generated by AI for reference only.
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