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China Economist Zhang Bin Urges Stronger Counter-Cyclical Policy to Break Weak-Demand Loop

Zhang Bin, a researcher and deputy director at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences’ Institute of World Economics and Politics, said on September 19 at the Tsinghua PBCSF Chief Economists Forum that China’s main economic imbalance is strong supply against weak demand, a total imbalance driven by weak business and household expectations. He said individual rational behavior compounds into a negative self-reinforcing loop, which is a market failure requiring strong external force to break, with stronger counter-cyclical adjustment the most effective tool.

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AI take

The significance lies in the framing: an establishment economist casting weak demand as a market failure that self-reinforces, which implicitly justifies heavier state intervention rather than waiting for sentiment to heal on its own. That argument matters for how Beijing's policy toolkit gets debated, and it lands as officials weigh additional counter-cyclical measures. What to watch is whether this diagnosis shifts from commentary into concrete easing, and whether the self-reinforcing loop narrative gains traction among other official voices.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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