TREE NEWS update: St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said interest rates may need to rise further to curb inflation driven by both demand and supply, adding that hikes are best done early and gradually rather than later and larger. He said inflation could still run well above the 2% target in 18 months without further policy restriction, and remains too high at 3% even excluding supply factors. Commodity shocks extend beyond oil to base metals such as copper, while the labor market is stable near full employment and is not a source of inflation pressure.
Fed’s Musalem: Rates May Need to Rise Further to Curb Inflation
Musalem's emphasis on acting early and gradually, rather than late and large, signals a Fed still leaning toward pre-emptive tightening even as inflation cools from goods into broader channels. The notable detail is his read that commodity pressure now runs through base metals like copper, not just oil — a cost channel that feeds directly into electrification, construction and grid supply chains where tokenized commodity and RWA products have been expanding. Whether that metals-led inflation narrative gains traction among other Fed officials is the open question for rate-sensitive crypto and real-asset markets.
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