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Nvidia CDS Emerges as One of Most-Traded US Credit Default Swaps

Derivatives tied to Nvidia have become one of the most actively traded instruments in the US credit default swap market, with $6.9 billion in notional credit protection traded over the past six months. Nvidia has been added to the CDX investment-grade index. The cost of hedging against an Nvidia bond default has doubled this year, following heavy borrowing and a series of announced AI-related infrastructure deals.

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AI take

Nvidia's CDS liquidity now rivals that of established investment-grade issuers, a notable shift for a company whose credit story was until recently an afterthought to its equity narrative. The doubling in hedging costs alongside heavy borrowing and AI infrastructure commitments suggests credit markets are beginning to price the balance-sheet intensity behind the AI buildout, not just the revenue story. Whether this hedging demand reflects genuine concern or simply a new, liquid tool for expressing views on AI capex is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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