Press Enter to search · ESC to close

Macro

Barclays: T-bill selloff may persist as money fund inflows stall

Barclays strategist Samuel Earl said in a report that the recent drop in Treasury bill prices is likely to continue over the coming months, as inflows into money market funds — a key driver of bill pricing — have stalled. Three-month bill yields now sit 9 basis points above same-tenor SOFR overnight index swaps, and Earl said valuations look worse further out the curve.

Original source

AI take

The significance here is that a core structural bid for T-bills — money fund inflows — is being framed as stalled, which shifts bill pricing toward rate expectations rather than steady demand. That matters for anyone using bills as collateral or a cash proxy, since the front end is where funding conditions show up first. The gap between bill yields and SOFR swaps is the tell: it suggests investors are demanding compensation for holding duration rather than parking cash. Whether money fund flows reaccelerate, and whether that spread widens further out the curve, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

Share

Related News

TREE NEWS share card
Long-press image above → Save to Photos / Share
Pitch us Feedback