TREE NEWS update: The US final reading for second-quarter GDP, along with August personal income and personal consumption expenditures (PCE), is scheduled for release at 20:30 Beijing time. The PCE report includes the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. Markets will watch the data for signals on the interest-rate path.
US Q2 GDP Final, August Income and PCE Data Due at 20:30 Beijing Time
The Fed's preferred inflation gauge landing alongside revised growth data matters because it tests whether the disinflation trend held through August, which is what the rate-path debate ultimately hinges on. The final GDP reading is backward-looking and rarely moves markets on its own, but the pairing means a hot PCE print would carry more weight than usual. Whether the inflation measure continues its recent trajectory, and how that reshapes rate expectations, is the open question.
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