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Macro

US Q2 GDP Final, August Income and PCE Data Due at 20:30 Beijing Time

The US final reading for second-quarter GDP, along with August personal income and personal consumption expenditures (PCE), is scheduled for release at 20:30 Beijing time. The PCE report includes the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. Markets will watch the data for signals on the interest-rate path.

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AI take

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge landing alongside revised growth data matters because it tests whether the disinflation trend held through August, which is what the rate-path debate ultimately hinges on. The final GDP reading is backward-looking and rarely moves markets on its own, but the pairing means a hot PCE print would carry more weight than usual. Whether the inflation measure continues its recent trajectory, and how that reshapes rate expectations, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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