TREE NEWS update: Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said AI adoption could have both positive and negative effects on productivity and the labor market. He said AI is a large positive demand shock that pushes up economic activity and prices, while possibly lifting productivity and capital accumulation on the supply side. AI has boosted share prices and eased financial conditions, but heavy bond issuance by AI-related firms is adding upward pressure to long-term rates, he said, warning of correction risk if profits do not keep pace.
BOJ Deputy Governor Uchida: AI Adoption May Have Both Positive and Negative Effects on Productivity and Labor
Uchida's framing matters less for its AI commentary than for what it reveals about how a major central bank is internalizing AI into its policy reaction function: AI as simultaneous demand shock, supply-side productivity story, and financial-stability risk. The notable tension is that the same equity-driven easing that supports activity sits alongside heavy AI-related bond issuance pushing long-term rates up, meaning the policy signal is ambiguous rather than one-directional. The correction-risk caveat is the thread worth watching, since it ties AI capex financing to the broader rate environment rather than treating it as a standalone tech story.
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