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Macro US Stocks

China Fund Managers Turn Optimistic on Q4 A-Share Earnings Cycle

Several Chinese public fund managers said they are optimistic about the fourth quarter, arguing that A-share corporate earnings are in an upcycle that is likely to continue and that high-prosperity sub-sectors should hold up. Crowding has eased after third-quarter volatility, they said, with technology and especially AI-related names flagged for monitoring.

Original source

AI take

The notable shift here is positioning rather than conviction: managers are flagging that crowding has eased, which suggests the recent volatility did more to reset ownership than to change the earnings thesis. That matters because it implies the next leg, if it comes, would be driven by fundamentals rather than flows. The focus on AI-related names is the tell — it is where the earnings-upcycle argument is most testable and most fragile. Whether that earnings momentum actually broadens beyond the flagged sub-sectors is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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