TREE NEWS reports: China’s treasury futures opened mixed on the latest trading session, with the 30-year main contract up 0.12% and the 10-year main contract up 0.04%. The 5-year main contract was flat at 0.00%, while the 2-year main contract slipped 0.00%.
China Treasury Futures Open Mixed; 30-Year Contract Up 0.12%
The curve steepening implied by the 30-year contract outperforming the front end suggests duration appetite is returning at the long end rather than a broad rates rally, since the 5-year and 2-year contracts show no movement. That divergence matters for anyone reading Chinese duration as a proxy for growth or policy expectations, because a long-end-led move can reflect term premium or positioning rather than a change in the near-term rate path. Whether the long end continues to lead while the belly and front end stay anchored is the open question.
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