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Macro

UK 10-Year Gilt Yield Hits 5.480%, Highest Since 2007; 30-Year at 1998 High

UK 10-year gilt yields rose 3.8 basis points to 5.480% on Thursday, touching 5.521% intraday and approaching the 2007 third-quarter peak of 5.564%. Two-year yields gained 6.1 bps to 4.913%, while 30-year yields added 1.3 bps to 5.992% after hitting 6.045%, near the 1998 first-quarter high of 6.258%. The 2s/10s spread fell 2.672 bps to +56.532 bps.

Original source

AI take

The striking feature is the shape of the move: two-year yields rose roughly twice as much as the long end, flattening the 2s/10s spread, which points to repricing of near-term rate expectations rather than a pure term-premium story. That distinction matters for UK borrowers and for anyone holding duration, since a front-end-led selloff transmits faster into mortgage and corporate funding costs than a long-end one. Whether the 10-year tests its 2007 peak, and whether the flattening persists, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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