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Crypto DeFi

Polymarket Odds of Papertrade FDV Above $100M One Day After Launch Hit 80%

TREE NEWS reports: Polymarket traders now put 80% odds on Papertrade’s fully diluted valuation exceeding $100 million one day after its token launch, a 27% rise in 24 hours. The market resolves Yes only if Papertrade issues an official token after the market’s creation; stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking tokens and synthetic tokens are excluded. FDV is total supply times token price, measured at 4 p.m. ET the day after listing. If no token is issued by Dec. 31, 2027, the market resolves No.

Original source

AI take

Prediction markets are increasingly functioning as a real-time sentiment gauge for token launches, and the sharp repricing here suggests traders are responding to something concrete rather than noise. The exclusion of stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking and synthetic tokens narrows the field, so the odds reflect a fairly specific bet on a genuine issuance. The open question is whether this kind of pre-launch market becomes a standard pricing reference or remains a niche signal.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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