TREE NEWS update: Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark said Saturday that an internal economic model projects AI could push US economic output to $44 trillion by 2030, up from just over $30 trillion today. Speaking at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, Clark called the forecast “sounds very crazy” but said AI is rapidly accelerating scientific discovery and could produce such an outcome if the technology keeps advancing. He urged international cooperation on “special and strict rules” for the technology.
Anthropic co-founder: AI could lift US GDP to $44 trillion by 2030
The striking part isn't the headline number but the source and venue: a frontier-lab co-founder floating a near-50% output expansion at the IMF/World Bank meetings, where such figures carry weight with policymakers rather than traders. It matters most for macro and policy audiences now weighing AI's growth case against governance, since Clark pairs the projection with a call for strict international rules. The forecast is explicitly conditional on continued technological progress, so whether that condition holds — and whether coordination on rules materializes — is the open question worth watching.
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