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Thermal coal price tops 1,000 yuan again, listed miners’ earnings seen rising

Thermal coal prices have climbed back above 1,000 yuan a ton for the first time in three years, driven by winter stockpiling demand and tight supply. Eight in ten listed thermal coal miners reported year-on-year earnings improvement in the first half, and further price gains in the third quarter are expected to keep lifting profits, said Yuan Huaming, general manager of Guangdong Huahui Chuangfu Investment Management.

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AI take

The return of thermal coal above the 1,000-yuan threshold matters less as a headline number than as a signal that supply tightness is persisting into the winter stocking window, which is precisely when miners' pricing power tends to peak. The earnings dispersion already visible in first-half results — eight in ten improving — suggests the benefit is broad-based rather than confined to a few low-cost producers, though the durability of that margin expansion depends on whether spot strength carries into contract negotiations. Whether the current supply-demand imbalance persists beyond the winter restocking cycle is the open question for the sector's second-half trajectory.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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