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DWS Fixed Income Chief Warns Divided Congress Could Rattle Bond Markets

DWS Americas fixed income head George Catrambone said the view that political gridlock benefits markets now looks outdated, warning that a dysfunctional Congress or another government shutdown next year would effectively hand the problem to the bond market. With yields already up so much, a repeat would be tricky and he is unsure the economy could withstand it, he said.

Original source

AI take

The notable shift here is rhetorical: the long-held assumption that divided government is benign for markets is being publicly retired by a major asset manager's fixed income desk. The warning lands on the Treasury market rather than equities, implying that fiscal dysfunction now transmits through duration and term premium instead of the usual gridlock-as-status-quo trade. It matters most for rate-sensitive allocators and anyone treating political paralysis as a non-event. The open question is whether this framing spreads across sell-side and buy-side desks, which would signal a genuine repricing of political risk rather than one strategist's view.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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