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JPMorgan Private Bank Asia strategist sees near-term downside risk for gold

JPMorgan Private Bank’s Asia head of rates and FX strategy, Tang Yuxuan, said gold still faces downside risk after the latest selloff because liquidity remains thin and rates have room to rise. She said gold will form a solid floor once rates peak. The bank expects the Federal Reserve to hike in December and again in Q1 2027, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield from just above 5% to a peak of 5.25%-5.5% by mid-2027.

Original source

AI take

The significance here is less the bearish call than the mechanism behind it: a private-bank strategist tying gold's near-term vulnerability to thin liquidity and further rate hikes, with a floor only once rates peak. That framing matters for gold holders and macro traders who have been treating the recent selloff as a bottoming signal, since it implies the pressure is structural rather than sentiment-driven. The open question is whether the projected Treasury yield path toward 5.25%-5.5% actually materializes; if it does, the "solid floor" thesis gets pushed further out.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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