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Macro

US Real PCE Flat in September, Missing 0.1% Forecast

US real personal consumption expenditures were unchanged month-over-month in September, missing expectations of a 0.1% gain and slowing from a 0.6% increase in the prior reading. The flat reading points to a stall in inflation-adjusted consumer spending at the end of the third quarter.

Original source

AI take

The miss matters less for its size than for what it signals: real spending, the inflation-adjusted measure that actually drives activity, stalled heading into the fourth quarter after a strong prior gain. For risk assets, including crypto and tokenized RWA markets, this shifts attention toward whether the consumer slowdown is a one-month pause or the start of a softer trend, and how that feeds into the rate debate. The open question is whether the flat reading is noise or the beginning of a broader deceleration.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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