TREE NEWS update: The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate at 3.75%-4.00% on Oct. 28 in a 10-2 vote, with Cook and Hammack dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point increase. The statement upgraded its read on economic activity to “strong” from “moderate” while retaining that inflation remains elevated. Markets priced roughly 87.5% odds of a December hike after the meeting, up from 79%-84% beforehand, with Q3 GDP and September PCE due Oct. 29.
Fed Holds Rates at 3.75%-4.00%, Two Dissents Back a Hike
The story here is the direction of dissent: the two votes were for a hike, not a cut, and the statement's upgrade to "strong" activity signals the debate has shifted toward tightening rather than easing. That matters for rate-sensitive crypto and tokenized-yield products, where the policy path feeds directly into the attractiveness of holding cash-like instruments versus risk assets. The near-term question is whether the December repricing holds once the incoming GDP and PCE data land — a soft inflation print could unwind it quickly, while a hot one would validate the dissents.
Generated by AI for reference only.
Share on WeChat
Open WeChat → Scan → then tap "…" to send to a chat or Moments.
Tap "…" in the top-right corner to send to a chat or share to Moments.