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USDA Cuts US Cotton Ending Stocks Forecast to 3.7 Million Bales

The US Department of Agriculture now expects US cotton ending stocks of 3.7 million bales, down from its previous forecast of 3.8 million bales. The new figure came in above the 3.62 million bales analysts had expected. The USDA released the revised estimate in its latest supply and demand update.

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AI take

The headline cut masks a more nuanced signal: the USDA's new figure still landed above what analysts had penciled in, so the revision is tighter but less tight than the market anticipated. That gap matters for anyone tracking cotton-linked exposure, from textile supply chains to tokenized agricultural commodities, since it suggests expectations had run ahead of official data. Whether the next supply and demand update confirms this tightening path or reverses it is the open question worth watching.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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