TREE NEWS reports: China’s new yuan-denominated loans totaled 11.42 trillion yuan in January-October, down from 11.52 trillion yuan in the first nine months, implying October lending of about 100 billion yuan. October M2 money supply grew 7.1% year-on-year, slowing from 7.2% in September, while M1 growth accelerated to 4.4% from 3.2%.
China Jan-Oct New Yuan Loans 11.42 Trillion Yuan; Oct M2 +7.1%
The marginal October loan figure is the striking detail: a single month's new lending that small points to weak credit demand rather than a supply constraint, and it sits awkwardly against the pickup in M1 growth. The M2-M1 gap narrowing is the more constructive signal, suggesting liquidity is rotating toward transactional balances rather than sitting idle, though one month is thin evidence. Whether M1 acceleration persists while headline credit creation stays subdued is the open question for anyone tracking China's reflation story.
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