TREE NEWS reports: CME FedWatch shows a 57% probability of a 25bps rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, up from 39.9% on August 21, following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech. Polymarket and Kalshi data also reflect nearly balanced odds, with over $90M in combined trading volume. The market’s expectations for a rate cut have essentially vanished.
CME FedWatch: Sept Rate Hike Odds Rise to 57%
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