Polymarket: Gemini 4 Launch Probability at 35%, Up 12% in 24h

The sharp 12% jump in Polymarket odds signals a meaningful shift in trader sentiment around Gemini 4's release, likely reflecting fresh catalysts or speculative momentum. For market watchers, this move underscores how prediction markets are increasingly used as a real-time barometer for AI product timelines. The key question is whether this probability climb is sustainable or a short-term spike, especially given the lack of official confirmation. Any official statement from Google would likely reset the market, making the next 24-48 hours critical to gauge if this trend holds.