TREE NEWS update: Bitcoin has historically declined in eight of the last 13 Septembers, mirroring a similar seasonal weakness in US stocks since 1928. The article examines the causes of this ‘Red September’ phenomenon, what broke the pattern last year, and expectations for the upcoming month.
Bitcoin’s ‘Red September’ Curse: Wall Street Shares It
The correlation between Bitcoin's September weakness and the long-standing seasonal pattern in US equities suggests that crypto is increasingly behaving like a risk asset tethered to traditional market rhythms, rather than a standalone store of value. This matters for traders and institutional allocators who may need to recalibrate their calendar-based assumptions, especially if the same macro forces—such as positioning, liquidity, or sentiment—drive both markets. The key question is whether the historical anomaly of last year's deviation marks a structural shift or merely a temporary break, and whether external shocks can override this seasonal drag in the current environment.
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