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Crypto Macro

Bitcoin Rises 25% in August, Key Test at $81K-$82K

Bitcoin gained about 25% in August, its best month since November 2024 and strongest August since 2017, driven by Treasury buyback expansion, record short squeeze, and $3.05B ETF inflows. However, the 21Shares report highlights $81,000-$82,000 as the pivotal resistance zone separating a trend reversal from a bear-market rally. September’s focus includes support at $76,000-$78,000, ETF flow sustainability, and long-end yields.

Original source

AI take

The 25% August surge is notable mainly because it was driven by a mix of macro liquidity signals and forced positioning, not organic demand alone. The $81K-$82K zone is the real battleground: clearing it would confirm a structural shift, while rejection would validate the bear-market rally thesis. For market participants, the sustainability of ETF inflows and long-end yield behavior will determine whether this momentum is durable or a short-term squeeze. September's support at $76K-$78K is the key level to watch for a breakdown risk.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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