TREE NEWS update: Sovereign bond markets worldwide are experiencing their most severe selloff in decades, with long-term yields surging due to inflation concerns, fiscal expansion, and structural demand shifts. US 30-year yields hit 5.33%, the highest since 2007, while France, Germany, UK, and Japan also saw multi-year or multi-decade peaks. This repricing is driven by real yields, as market inflation expectations remain stable, and is pressuring governments’ financing costs and political dynamics.
Global Bond Selloff: Long Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs
The striking element is that this repricing is happening in real yields, with inflation expectations stable — a term-premium and fiscal-supply story rather than an inflation scare. That distinction matters because it points to a structural repricing of sovereign risk, not a temporary inflation spike, and it tightens financing conditions for governments across the US, Europe and Japan simultaneously. The open question is whether this pressure feeds back into political dynamics around fiscal expansion, and whether long-end demand stabilizes or continues to thin out.
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