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Macro

EM currencies eye longest weekly win streak since 2007

The MSCI emerging markets currency index is set for a tenth consecutive weekly gain, the longest streak since 2007, after rising 0.4% on Friday, bringing the week’s advance to 0.7%. Gains were trimmed after strong US jobs data boosted rate-hike bets and the dollar. Investors now await next week’s US inflation data for clues on Fed policy.

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AI take

The ten-week run marks a notable shift in EM currency momentum, but Friday's pullback after robust US jobs data underscores how fragile this streak is to Fed repricing. The index's resilience hinges on whether dollar strength resumes after next week's inflation print; a hot number could quickly unwind gains, while soft data may extend the rally. For EM asset allocators, the key risk is that the streak has already priced in a dovish Fed, leaving limited buffer if policy expectations tighten further.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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