TREE NEWS update: China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange will strengthen prevention of systemic risks from large, abrupt cross-border capital movements during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, SAFE spokesperson and deputy administrator Li Bin said at a State Council Information Office briefing on September 10. The regulator will make cross-border capital flow risk control and supervision more forceful and effective, continuing to improve the two-pronged “macro-prudential plus micro-supervision” framework for the foreign exchange market.
China SAFE to Curb Systemic Risk from Large Cross-Border Capital Flows in 15th Five-Year Plan
The signal here is regulatory posture, not any single measure: SAFE is framing large, abrupt cross-border flows as a systemic-risk issue for the next planning cycle, which keeps the FX market's plumbing under a policy lens. That matters most for entities whose cross-border funding and settlement are already subject to the existing macro-prudential plus micro-supervision framework. Whether the emphasis translates into tighter specific rules or mainly stays at the level of stated intent is the open question worth tracking.
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