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Macro

10-Year Treasury Yield Rises 18.48bps on Week to 4.9669%

The US 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.43 basis points to 4.9669% in New York trading on Friday, September 11, after spiking to 4.9792% when US CPI inflation data was released at 20:30 Beijing time, staying close to the October 23, 2023 peak of 5.0187%. It then fell to a session low of 4.9016% at 21:03, tracing a W-shaped day and gaining 18.48 basis points for the week. The 2-year yield rose 3.98 basis points to 4.6254%, up 25.93 basis points on the week.

Original source

AI take

The week's move is notable less for the headline level than for the shape: a CPI-driven spike that faded into a W-shaped session, with the front end underperforming the long end on the week. That steepening pattern suggests the market is repricing policy expectations rather than long-run growth or inflation risk. The proximity to the prior peak is the level to watch — whether yields stall there again or break through is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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