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Macro

Morgan Stanley Forecasts Fed Rate Hikes in September and December

Morgan Stanley expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in September and December, the bank said in a forecast. The call points to two more hikes this year, a path that would keep US borrowing costs elevated into year-end. The forecast covers the Fed’s September and December policy meetings.

Original source

AI take

A sell-side call for two more hikes matters less as a prediction than as a signal about how parts of the market are positioning into year-end. If that path gains traction, the pressure point is duration-sensitive risk assets, where crypto and tokenized real-world assets have traded as long-duration exposure to the same rate curve. The open question is whether this stays a Morgan Stanley view or becomes a broader consensus; the Fed's own communication, not the bank's forecast, is what ultimately reprices the curve.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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