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Macro

Citadel Securities: Weak Growth May Cap European Bond Yield Rise

Citadel Securities said the energy shock and central bank tightening that have driven European bond yields higher may ultimately limit further increases by weakening Europe’s economy. European and UK bonds have been hit hardest in the global selloff after the European Central Bank raised rates last week, citing rising inflation risks. Europe’s reliance on imported energy is leading traders to position for further rate hikes.

Original source

AI take

This is a self-limiting thesis: the same energy shock pushing yields up may undermine the growth that justifies further hikes, a tension traders positioning for more tightening have yet to resolve. It matters most for European and UK rate expectations, where the selloff has been sharpest. Whether growth data starts to validate Citadel's view over the hike narrative is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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