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China New-Home Sales Fall 12.1% in Jan-Aug, Second-Hand Signings Rise 10.6%

China’s new commercial home sales by floor area fell 12.1% year on year in the first eight months of 2025, while second-hand home online signing area rose 10.6%, Fu Linghui, spokesperson for the National Bureau of Statistics, said at a State Council Information Office briefing. The NBS said total real estate transaction volume is trending toward stability.

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AI take

The divergence matters more than either headline: a double-digit drop in new-home sales alongside a double-digit rise in second-hand signings points to demand rotating toward existing stock rather than a broad demand recovery. That split pressures developers and land revenue while activity shifts to the resale market, where transactions do less to clear inventory. The NBS framing of stabilizing total transaction volume is worth watching against future data, since the open question is whether the shift toward second-hand deals is offsetting new-home weakness or simply masking it.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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