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WTO: Stronger Multilateral Trade Could Add $3 Trillion to Global GDP by 2050

The World Trade Organization’s World Trade Report 2026 says strengthening the multilateral trading system could raise global GDP by about 2.9%, or roughly $3 trillion, above the baseline scenario by 2050, with global exports up 17.9%. The report warns that if countries take no action and multilateral trade rules are weakened, global output could fall by as much as about 10%.

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AI take

The WTO's own framing shifts the debate from trade's costs to its counterfactual: the report's downside case, an output loss roughly three times the upside gain, is the part worth weighing, since it prices fragmentation rather than liberalization. For crypto and RWA markets, the signal is indirect but relevant — cross-border tokenized settlement and digital trade corridors depend on the same rules-based plumbing the report says is eroding. Whether member states treat the gap between those two scenarios as actionable is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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