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Macro

Gundlach Says Fed Should Have Raised Rates by 50 Basis Points

DoubleLine founder Jeffrey Gundlach said the Federal Reserve should have raised rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday rather than 25, calling his approach “stun and done.” He said a half-point hike would have offered markets a “calibration” back toward the fed funds rate, criticized Fed Chair Warsh’s September 16 press conference as “quite empty” and lacking transparency, and noted the 2-year Treasury yield sits more than 100 basis points above the fed funds rate.

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AI take

Gundlach's critique lands less on the size of the hike than on the Fed's communication, and the 2-year Treasury yield sitting well above the fed funds rate is the concrete signal that parts of the curve disagree with the policy path. That gap matters for rate-sensitive sectors and for anyone pricing the front end, since it implies the market is already positioning for more tightening than the Fed delivered. Whether that spread narrows or widens after the next meeting is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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