TREE NEWS update: The Bank of England kept its benchmark rate at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote, with chief economist Pill and MPC members Greene and Mann preferring a hike to 4%. The BoE abandoned plans to sell long-dated gilts and will complete the reduction of its £488bn bond portfolio by September 2034, cutting £368bn by end-2034. It raised its inflation forecast to 3.75% by end-2026 and now expects 0.4% third-quarter GDP growth.
Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75% in 6-3 Vote, Drops Long-Gilt Sales
A 6-3 split with three members preferring a hike is a hawkish hold, and the vote composition matters more than the unchanged rate. The bigger signal for RWA and crypto markets is the gilt decision: abandoning long-dated sales and stretching balance-sheet reduction to 2034 keeps duration supply off the market, easing the very long-end pressure that has been a persistent macro headwind for risk assets. The open question is whether that inflation forecast, now above target into end-2026, forces the committee back toward tightening.
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