TREE NEWS reports: KKR & Co. raised its forecasts for long-term US Treasury yields, saying it expects the Federal Reserve to keep its benchmark rate higher than previously anticipated because Chair Kevin Warsh is worried about persistent inflation. In a note to clients, the private equity firm projected the 10-year Treasury yield at 5.1% by year-end, up from a prior 5.0% forecast, and at 4.9% by the end of 2027, up from 4.7%.
KKR Lifts US Treasury Yield Forecasts, Sees Fed Holding Rates Higher
KKR's revision is modest in scale but notable in direction: a private-markets heavyweight nudging its long-run rate assumptions upward implies higher-for-longer discount rates across all asset classes, including tokenized Treasuries and yield-bearing RWA products whose appeal rests on relative spread. The signal matters less for the headline number than for the reasoning — anchoring the call to a Fed chair's inflation concerns rather than to growth data. Whether other houses follow KKR's revision, or whether incoming inflation prints undercut it, is the open question.
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