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UBS Expects RBA to Raise Rates Twice More to 4.85%

UBS now expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates two more times, by 25 basis points each, bringing the cash rate to 4.85%. The forecast points to a higher terminal rate than previously anticipated for Australian monetary policy.

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AI take

UBS's revised call signals that market participants may still be underestimating the RBA's tightening path, a shift that ripples through Australian rate expectations and the currency. The forecast affects borrowers, savers, and anyone with exposure to Australian assets, as a higher terminal rate alters the discount rate applied across valuations. Whether other forecasters follow UBS in lifting their terminal rate views is the next signal to watch.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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