China Border Crossings to Hit 2.4 Million Daily During Mid-Autumn and National Day Holidays

The scale of projected holiday travel points to a meaningful near-term lift in cross-border mobility, with the peak days clustering around late September and early October. For sectors tied to tourism, retail, and cross-border payments, the operational test is whether capacity and settlement rails can absorb the concentrated volume without friction. The open question is whether this holiday-driven surge reflects durable normalization in outbound and inbound flows or a seasonal spike that fades once the festival window closes.