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Brazil Cuts 2026 GDP Forecast to 2%, Raises 2027 Inflation View

Brazil lowered its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2% from a previous estimate of 2.3%, and cut its 2027 growth projection to 2.3% from 2.5%. The government also trimmed its 2026 inflation estimate to 4.9% from 5.1%, while raising the 2027 inflation forecast to 3.8% from 3.6%.

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AI take

The revision matters less for the headline growth number than for its composition: a lower 2026 inflation estimate paired with a higher 2027 one suggests the disinflation path is expected to flatten rather than continue. For crypto and RWA operators, Brazil's macro trajectory feeds directly into local-rate expectations and the risk appetite that has supported tokenized treasury and stablecoin activity in the region. Whether the 2027 inflation upgrade proves a one-off adjustment or the start of a firmer trend is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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