TREE NEWS update: Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, a 2026 FOMC voter, said modest interest-rate increases may be necessary, calling the return of inflation to 2% the top priority. She said progress in underlying inflation has been minimal, while output remains solid and the labor market stable despite multiple shocks, and that AI investment is having a substantive effect on demand and prices.
Philadelphia Fed’s Paulson Says Modest Rate Hikes May Be Needed
Paulson's framing matters because it inverts the prevailing easing bias: a 2026 voter explicitly keeping hikes on the table, with 2% inflation as the stated priority, narrows the room for policy relief that risk assets have been pricing. The detail worth watching is her attribution of AI investment to demand and prices — if that view spreads within the FOMC, AI capex becomes a policy variable, not just an equity theme, which touches both crypto liquidity expectations and the RWA buildout tied to data-center and compute financing.
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