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Russia Plans to Raise 2027 Defense Spending to 17.1 Trillion Rubles

Russia plans to increase defense spending to 17.1 trillion rubles in 2027, up from an original plan of 13.5 trillion rubles. The 2026 budget deficit forecast was raised to 3.2% of GDP, or 7.3 trillion rubles, from a previous 1.6% of GDP. Total 2026 budget spending will rise 13.2% to 48.6 trillion rubles, or 20.9% of GDP, while 459 billion rubles — about 11% of the liquid part of the fiscal reserve fund — will cover the 2026 deficit. Government debt is projected to rise from 19.9% of GDP in 2026 to 21.7% in 2027.

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AI take

The revision matters less for the headline defense number than for what it reveals about the funding mix: a deficit forecast doubling while liquid reserves cover only a fraction of the shortfall, and debt ratios climbing in tandem. That combination points to a fiscal stance increasingly reliant on borrowing rather than buffers, which is the part markets tend to price. Whether reserve drawdowns stay modest or accelerate as spending outpaces the original plan is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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